NFL DFS picks for Sunday, 9/20/2020: Corey Davis, Christian Kirk, Logan Thomas, and more!

Last week wasn’t even a mixed bag. It was a pretty dejected and miserable bag. Here are the results:

QB Tyrod Taylor: 16-for-30, 208 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 6 rush attempts for 7 yards…9.02 FDP
RB Boston Scott: 9 attempts for 35 yards, 0 TDs, 2 rec for 19 yards…6.40 FDP
WR Davante Adams: 14 rec for 156 yards, 2 TDs…34.60 FDP
TE Jack Doyle: 3 rec for 49 yards, 0 TDs…6.40 FDP
D/ST Detroit Lions: 27 points allowed, 1 sack, 0 turnovers…1.0 FDP

We are guaranteed to do better this week. And I need to dig a good bit deeper. I’m going to loosely separate guys based on site, but that doesn’t mean I’m not considering guys in both spaces. Quarterback is the place where there’s an obvious choice on one platform. Anyway, here goes nothin’.

QUARTERBACK

Fanduel: Philip Rivers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Rivers attempted 46 passes in a losing effort against the Jaguars in Week 1, accounting for 363 yards, 1 TD, and two picks (16.82 FDP). The Colts lost Marlon Mack in the effort, but that opens up some value in rookie RB Jonathan Taylor. With Jack Doyle also shelved, we’ve got some obvious stacking partners in T.Y. Hilton and Parris Campbell–both of whom saw nine targets in Week 1. This is a rebuilt Vikings defense that got shredded by Aaron Jones and the Packers last week. I like the spot for Old Man Rivers in Week 2. Arguably more of a “cash game” option, but the low cost is nice and allows you to pay up for whatever studs you like.

DraftKings: Kyler Murray vs. Washington Football Team

He’s only $6,100 on this platform, priced down as the 11th most expensive quarterback. Compare that to Fanduel, where he’s $8,000 and the 5th most expensive. On DK, the Arizona pieces in general come pretty cheap. Murray is probably the only quarterback I play on DraftKings today. I don’t play enough volume to divide myself, and this just reads like a screaming value, no matter how good the Washington front is. More reason for Murray to showcase his epic speed as he dances away from trouble.

RUNNING BACK

FanDuel: Derrick Henry vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

No A.J. Brown this week, and no backup running back in Darrynton Evans. Jeremy McNichols will be the backup today, and he managed 13 snaps in Week 1. He mustered a single target in the passing game and couldn’t reel it in. Henry should EAT all season, but the Titans really need him to eat in Week 2. I’m not savvy enough to tell you if he’ll be more or less owned than Ezekiel Elliott, but he’s $300 cheaper and I’ll take it. I have a couple of squads with both Henry AND Zeke, for what it’s worth.

FanDuel and DraftKings: RB Jonathan Taylor vs. Minnesota Vikings

Taylor is below $6,000 on both platforms, and it sounds like he’s the mega-chalk play of the week at running back. Do with that what you will. You can hang in the same game and chase Nyheim Hines, who managed a pair of scores in Week 1 and is probably a better bet for passing game work. At any rate, Taylor should be the lead back and caught all six of his targets in Week 1. This could turn into a hot hand sort of thing, so truly both guys bear mentioning.

WIDE RECEIVER

FanDuel: Parris Campbell vs. Minnesota Vikings

I’m trying to figure out this Indy offense, in case you can’t tell. Campell is only $5,300 on Fanduel, a full $1,000 cheaper than T.Y. Hilton. Both men saw nine targets in Week 1, except Campbell did more with his (6-71) than Hilton. No Jack Doyle and no Marlon Mack really narrows this offense, and I’m going to enjoy cheap shares of Campbell on both platforms–he’s only $4,500 on DK, but there’s at least one guy there I’m sort of bound to given my QB choice…

DraftKings: Christian Kirk vs. Washington Football Team

Kirk managed one measly catch in Week 1, and he’s priced way down at only $4,300 on DK. In contrast, Nuk Hopkins saw 16 targets in Week 1. The good news is that Kirk played 63 snaps, right in line with Larry Fitzgerald (65), though both trailed Hopkins (77) considerably. Someone else is going to have to produce in this offense, and it may not be running Kenyan Drake today given the strong Washington front. I’m not going crazy for Kirk, but I am weaving him in at his low price point. I also can’t go nuts for him given the two other dirt cheap wideout options, listed below. But I am weaving him in.

Bonus WR plays: Corey Davis ($4900 FD, $4000 DK) vs. JAC, Breshad Perriman ($5200 FD, $3,800 DK) vs. SF

TIGHT END

FanDuel: Logan Thomas at Arizona Cardinals

Thomas is coming off of eight targets in Week 1, finishing with a 4-37-1 line (11.7 FDP). He’s cheaper than both Chris Herndon ($5,200) and Jonnu Smith ($4,900) on Fanduel. I do really like rotating Jonnu and Corey Davis on Fanduel. In lineups where I’m playing Davis, though, I’m looking to Thomas in what was the premier matchup for tight ends all of last season. Aside from Terry McLaurin–who is going to draw plenty of attention–who else is Washington going to throw to today?

DraftKings: Chris Herndon vs. San Francisco 49ers

I’m pretty much rotating Herndon, Jonnu Smith, and Logan Thomas on both sites. On DK, Herndon is the cheapest, at $3,400. In lineups that don’t feature a dirt cheap Breshad Perriman, he’s definitely in consideration. I’ll confess to liking Thomas’ upside a bit more, but Herndon saw plenty of volume in Week 1, with seven targets (trailing only the now injured Jamison Crowder for the team lead). Of course, he caught six of those for only 37 yards, and was charged with a bogus fumble. It wasn’t a day for the record books, but it’s conceivable that he’s the top passing game option for Sam Darnold today. At this bargain basement price, I’m paying attention.

As I refine what I’m doing, hopefully that means I’ll refine a writing format. I’d love to hear any plays that YOU feel strongly about. You can hit me up @HeathCapps or on the RotoRanks handle, at @roto_ranks. I’m definitely a believer in the fact that we can all help each other get better in the daily game…I’d love to talk picks or strategy with anyone at any time!

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