Looking ahead to the start of the season, I wanted to find five wide receivers who will fail to beat their finish from last year. We’ll consider each wide receiver based on fantasy points per game (FPTS/G) for players who played at least eight games in 2019. It should be noted that these rankings are based on half a point per reception.

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Bucaneers

2019 FPTS/G Rank: #2
2019 Full Season Rank: WR2
Current ADP: WR6

Tampa Bay had one of the most interesting fantasy football seasons ever with Jameis Winston at the helm. While Brady will stabilize the ship, Godwin will have a tough time repeating last year’s performance. I think this has more to do with others bouncing back and reclaiming their spot at the top. I have plenty of shares of Godwin in best ball this year, and I like him overall. Just don’t count on him as the #2 wide receiver in fantasy for 2020.

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Bucaneers

2019 FPTS/G Rank: #3
2019 Full Season Rank: WR12
Current ADP: WR8

As I said, Tampa Bay had one of the most interesting seasons ever (insert 30 for 30 joke here). Evans is another who I think will produce just fine this season. Evans has finished #9, #13, #3, and #25 prior to last season. I think WR1 numbers are certainly in the deck, but I don’t think he’ll finish the season inside the top 5.

Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams

2019 FPTS/G Rank: #7
2019 Full Season Rank: WR4
Current ADP: WR16

I’m sorry if you don’t find this one super insightful–and based on his current ADP data, you won’t. Kupp was #5 through Week 10 last year. From Week 11 to Week 16, he was #29. Kupp was #12 in 2018 and #29 in his rookie campaign. Expect him to have flashes, but don’t expect the same production from start to finish this season.

DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins

2019 FPTS/G Rank: #10
2019 Full Season Rank: WR7
Current ADP: WR21

Parker burst onto the scene last year. But repeating a top 10 finish for the Miami Dolphins just feels difficult to buy into. Perhaps Tua will burst onto the scene and things will take off (I have plenty of shares of Tua as my QB3 in best ball). But color me skeptical.

Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys

2019 FPTS/G Rank: #15
2019 Full Season Rank: WR22
Current ADP: WR29

If you read about the quarterbacks and running backs that I think will improve, you know that I’m high on the Dallas offense. However, the addition of CeeDee Lamb has the potential to hinder the values of Cooper and Gallup. I think Gallup is more likely to bear the brunt of that. Gallup will remain a solid play, but I worry about weeks where he will get lost in the shuffle. The offense as a whole may improve, but this may come at a slight expense to Gallup’s fantasy value.