Looking ahead to the start of the season, I wanted to find five wide receivers who will beat their finish from last year. We’ll consider each wide receiver based on fantasy points per game (FPTS/G) for players who played at least eight games in 2019. It should be noted that these rankings are based on half a point per reception.
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
2019 FPTS/G Rank: #6
2019 Full Season Rank: WR24
Current ADP: WR2
If the man responsible for getting him the ball is going to make an appearance on the Quarterbacks who will improve list, then the top pass-catcher in the Green Bay offense deserves a spot after an injury-riddled season. (Fortunately enough for me, Adams went two picks before me in my college league last year. I settled on Michael Thomas. Thanks Grubb!) Adams was #1 in 2018 and has been a staple in the top 10 the past four seasons. At #6, there isn’t much room for improvement; but I think we’ll see him back inside the top three this season.
Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs
2019 FPTS/G Rank: #9
2019 Full Season Rank: WR30
Current ADP: WR3
Based on ADP, these first two picks aren’t news to anyone. Hill had a myriad of issues in 2019. When healthy, he is undeniably one of the most explosive players in the league. Pair him with the top gunslinger in the game and you have a potent fantasy duo. Like Adams, Hill was in the top 5 in FPTS/G in 2017 and 2018.
Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks
2019 FPTS/G Rank: #23
2019 Full Season Rank: WR14
Current ADP: WR19
If I don’t provide any value with the first two guys, maybe this selection will help you find a little value. Lockett’s top finish was #21 in 2018. Although he’s currently being drafted at the top of his historical range, you can feel confident that he can deliver his current price. If Seattle turns more of the offense over to Russell Wilson, then Lockett will end up in WR1 territory. Even if the run/pass mix stays the same, second-year wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will relieve some of the pressure on Lockett.
Odell Beckham Jr., Cleveland Browns
2019 FPTS/G Rank: #33
2019 Full Season Rank: WR26
Current ADP: WR9
6, 2, 5, and 3. Those are OBJ’s FTPS/G finishes prior to joining Cleveland. Like Baker, I think this year will be a huge improvement over 2019. Unlike Baker, this is already priced into OBJ’s draft position. Since there isn’t much else to say, enjoy this clip of OBJ roasting my beloved Mississippi State Bulldogs in 2013.
Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens
2019 FPTS/G Rank: #45
2019 Full Season Rank: WR46
Current ADP: WR32
Based on their current ADPs, Hollywood Brown is the most appetizing of last year’s stellar rookie WR class (Brown, Metcalf, Terry McLaurin, and others). While I think the stars of last year will continue to produce, Marquise Brown is one of the cheapest of the bunch. The rushing game in Baltimore is going to create many favorable match-ups for Brown, and I don’t think his ADP accurately reflects his ceiling.